Monday, May 14, 2012

Serie A - round 38 results


AC Milan         2-1       Novara       
Catania          0-2       Udinese      
Cesena          2-3       Roma         
Chievo           1-0       Lecce         
Fiorentina       0-0       Cagliari       
Genoa            2-0       Palermo     
Juventus        3-1       Atalanta     
Lazio             3-1       Inter
Napoli            2-1       Siena
Parma            1-0       Bologna

Friday, May 11, 2012

Parma v Bologna Match Preview and Betting Tips

Sunday 13th May, 5pm GMT

Newly-crowned league champions Juventus aside, these two are the form teams in Serie A - possibly because they are basking in mid-table safety and are enjoying the opportunity to play without pressure.

Parma’s current record of six consecutive wins is their best run ever in Serie A, while visitors Bologna have won their last three and are unbeaten in their last seven league games. Champions League contenders Napoli were Bologna’s latest victims – Mazzarri’s men suffered a surprise 2-0 defeat at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara last weekend.

Giovinco and Floccari: forming a successful partnership at Parma

Though it is risky to bet against a team with Bologna’s current unbeaten record, they are less formidable on the road than at home. Their defenders are likely to struggle to contain Sebastian Giovinco, whose inspired form has been the driving force behind Parma's recent successes. Striker Sergio Floccari has also become an important part of Roberto Donadoni’s team since the former Italy boss took charge in January.

Parma have recently beaten top six teams such as Lazio and Inter at the Stadio Ennio Tardini, and I believe that they are well capable of finishing the season with another home win over Bologna.

Prediction – Parma to win – 5pts

Match odds:            Parma           5/6
                             Draw             9/4
                             Bologna        10/3

Monday, May 7, 2012

Serie A - round 37 results


Atalanta         0-2       Lazio
Bologna         2-0       Napoli        
Cagliari          0-2       Juventus     
Inter             4-2       AC Milan     
Novara          3-0       Cesena       
Palermo         4-4       Chievo       
Siena            0-2       Parma        
Udinese         2-0       Genoa        
Lecce            0-1       Fiorentina   
Roma            2-2       Catania

Saturday, May 5, 2012

Serie A - round 36 results

(played in midweek)


AC Milan         2-0       Atalanta     
Catania          0-1       Bologna      
Cesena          0-1       Udinese      
Fiorentina       2-2       Novara       
Genoa            2-1       Cagliari       
Juventus        1-1       Lecce         
Lazio             1-1       Siena
Parma            3-1       Inter
Chievo           0-0       Roma         
Napoli            2-0       Palermo

Serie A - round 35 results


Atalanta        2-0       Fiorentina   
Bologna        3-2       Genoa        
Inter             2-1       Cesena       
Lecce            1-2       Parma        
Novara          0-4       Juventus     
Siena            1-4       AC Milan     
Udinese         2-0       Lazio
Cagliari          0-0       Chievo       
Palermo         1-1       Catania      
Roma            2-2       Napoli

Friday, April 27, 2012

Roma v Napoli Match Preview and Betting Tips

Saturday 28th April 2012, 7.45pm GMT (live on ESPN)

It would be misleading to describe the battle for third place in Serie A this season as fierce. While Milan and Juventus go toe-to-toe for the Scudetto, streets ahead of the rest, Lazio and Udinese seem almost reluctant to finish third. This is good news for Napoli and Inter (and possibly even Roma), who are now also becoming interested in the prospect of Champions League qualification.

Napoli recently suffered three defeats in a row, but they have revived their flagging league campaign with back-to-back wins over relegation candidates Novara and Lecce. Wednesday’s 2-0 win at Lecce was impressive as it ended the hosts’ six-match unbeaten run, but more importantly for Walter Mazzari it brought his side to within a point of Lazio and closer to participation in the Champions League for the second season running.

"El Pocho," seen here scoring against Chelsea, returns to the bench for Napoi tomorrow

Roma’s “experiment” under Luis Enrique was always expected to take time, but even the most patient Roma fans must be tiring of following their team’s woes. They have suffered more defeats than any other team in the top half of the table, and they have huge problems with both their defending and their discipline. Just as Bojan Krkic and Maarten Stekelenburg return from suspension for this game, Danielle De Rossi, Pablo Osvaldo and Eric Lamela miss out due to suspension. Lamela misses three of Roma’s remaining four games for spitting on Stephan Lichtsteiner during Juventus’ recent win over Roma. Classy.

Napoli defender Hugo Camagnaro is unavailable due to injury, but Goran Pandev returns from suspension and Ezequiel Lavezzi is expected to make the bench following his recent thigh injury.

Roma’s home record is far more respectable than their away form, and though they recorded an impressive 3-1 win in Napoli already this season I can’t see them repeating that achievement tomorrow. Expect Napoli to keep up the pressure on Roma’s rivals in a game which should see a few goals.

Prediction – Napoli to win – 5pts

Match odds:            Roma            6/4
                             Draw            11/5   
                             Napoli           7/4

Thursday, April 26, 2012

Serie A - round 33 results


AC Milan        1-0       Genoa        
Cesena          0-1       Juventus     
Lecce            0-2       Napoli        
Novara          2-1       Lazio
Palermo         1-2       Parma        
Roma            1-2       Fiorentina   
Siena            1-1       Bologna      
Udinese         1-3       Inter            
Atalanta        1-0       Chievo       
Cagliari          3-0       Catania

Tuesday, April 24, 2012

Novara v Lazio Match Preview and Betting Tips

Wednesday 25th April 2012, 11.30am GMT (live on ESPN)

This game was originally scheduled to take place on Sunday 15th April, but it was postponed along with every other Serie A game from this round due to the tragic death of Piermario Morrosini on Saturday 14th.

I tipped Lazio to win the originally scheduled fixture, and I’m sticking with that prediction. Although midfielder Hernanez seems to have picked up a season-ending injury, Stefano Mauri will return from his one-game suspension to provide support for Tommaso Rocchi up front. Indeed given recent form, Mauri is a far better option than the Brazilian, who had been disappointing this season and whose mind appears to be elsewhere. Key defender Andre Dias is also available once again following his recent injury.

Will Mauri continue his recent run of rich goalscoring form tomorrow?

Lazio may have thrown away two points by conceding a late equaliser against Lecce on Sunday, but with just five games remaining they still have a genuine chance of holding on to third place. If they are serious about this target however they really need to be beating teams like Novara (who effectively have nothing to play for), and I think Edy Reja is too good a coach to allow his team to slip up twice in three days.

You can read my match preview for the originally scheduled fixture HERE.

Prediction – Lazio to win – 6 points

Match odds:            Novara          15/4
                             Draw            23/10 
                             Lazio             3/4

Monday, April 23, 2012

Serie A - round 34 results


Round 33 fixtures were postponed last weekend as mentioned previously, and they will take place tomorrow and Wednesday. In the meantime, here are the results from this weekend.

AC Milan        1-1        Bologna     
Cesena          2-2        Palermo    
Fiorentina      0-0        Inter
Genoa           1-4        Siena        
Juventus        4-0        Roma        
Lazio             1-1        Lecce        
Catania          2-0        Atalanta    
Chievo           0-0        Udinese     
Napoli            2-0        Novara      
Parma            3-0        Cagliari

Friday, April 20, 2012

Catania v Atalanta Match Preview and Betting Tips

Saturday 21st April 2012, 7.45pm GMT


Catania’s first season under coach Vincenzo Montella can already be marked down as a success – having begun the season with the stated aim of Serie A survival, the Sicilians sit in eighth place in the table and are just three points short of their all-time record in the top flight with six games remaining. Catania president Antonio Pulvirenti displayed his satisfaction with Montella's work this week by confirming that the coach will remain in the hot seat next season.


Atalanta will also be satisfied with their achievements this season. The Bergamo side are in tenth place, three points behind Catania. Indeed, had they not started the season with a six-point deficit (punishment for involvement in match –fixing) they would be challenging for Europa League qualification. Coach Stefano Colantuono was rewarded with a new contact in February, which secures his position for the next two campaigns.


Maxi Morales may be the smallest player in Serie A but he's proving a big hit with Atalanta fans


The visitors ended a mediocre run of form last time out by winning away at Napoli, while Catania suffered a rare home defeat to Lecce – an extraordinary result considering the fact that they were winning 1-0 with just two minutes of normal time remaining. The Stadio Angelo Massimino is the proverbial fortress however, and Inter, Lazio and Napoli have all tasted defeat here this season (while Juventus and Milan both had to settle for a draw).


Catania goalkeeper Juan Pablo Carrizo is unavailable due to his sending-off against Lecce, while Atalanta's top scorer German Denis is also suspended. The Nerazzurri do possess enough quality in their ranks to cause problems for the Sicilian hosts, but considering their solid home record I think Catania are worth a small bet tomorrow.


Prediction – Catania to win – 3pts


Match odds:    Catania       23/20
                     Draw           7/4
                     Atalanta       3/1

Sunday, April 15, 2012

All of this weekend's Serie A fixtures postponed

All of the Serie A games scheduled for this weekend have been postponed following the sad death of Piermario Morosini who was playing for Livorno in a Serie B game yesterday afternoon. R.I.P.

Saturday, April 14, 2012

Novara v Lazio Match Preview and Betting Tips

Sunday 15th  April 2012, 11.30am GMT (live on ESPN)

Throughout the course of the season I have found that picking Lazio to win has been a minefield, because one never knows which Lazio will show up. I picked them to beat Parma a couple of weeks back – which they should have been able to do in second gear – and they were absolutely terrible on the night. I have watched their two games since that defeat however, and I have seen enough to convince me that they’re worth backing to beat Novara at almost evens.

While Novara are resigned to a Serie B campaign next season, Lazio are still in pole position for third place (and the Champions League qualification which comes with it) despite their narrow defeat at league-leaders Juventus on Wednesday night. They gave an excellent display of their counter-attacking ability in their win over Napoli last weekend, and their performance in Turin was tenacious, despite the fact that they were missing first-choice players all over the field. Tomorrow they will have to do without Stefano Mauri and Libor Kozak who are suspended, while Miroslav Klose and Andre Dias are still injured. Mauri will be missed, as he has been superb in recent weeks, although his absence will present out-of-form midfielder Hernanez – who has generally started on the bench of late - with an opportunity to impress Edy Reja.

With rumours linking him to Arsenal and Tottenham, will Hernanez recover his form tomorrow? 

Novara lost 2-0 to Parma last week, and even they must know that the eleven-point gap which separates them from Serie A survival is too big to bridge over the remaining six games of the season. Though Lazio haven’t won away from home since January (not counting the Rome derby, when they were technically the away team), Novara have the conceded more goals than every other Serie A team except for Genoa. They have also recorded only three home wins all season. The Lazio players seem to have finally realised the importance of fighting for every point between now and the end of the season, and I think they will take all three tomorrow.

Prediction – Lazio to win – 6 points

Match odds:            Novara          11/4
                             Draw            23/10
                             Lazio            19/20

Thursday, April 12, 2012

Serie A - round 32 results

Chievo          0-1       AC Milan     
Catania         1-2       Lecce         
Fiorentina      0-0       Palermo     
Genoa           1-1       Cesena       
Inter             2-1       Siena
Juventus       2-1       Lazio
Napoli           1-3       Atalanta     
Parma           2-0       Novara       
Roma            3-1       Udinese
Bologna        1-0       Cagliari

Wednesday, April 11, 2012

Serie A - round 31 results

AC Milan         1-2       Fiorentina   
Atalanta         1-2       Siena
Cagliari          2-2       Inter  
Cesena          0-0       Bologna      
Chievo           3-2       Catania      
Lazio             3-1       Napoli        
Lecce            4-2       Roma         
Novara          1-1       Genoa        
Palermo         0-2       Juventus     
Udinese         3-1       Parma

Friday, April 6, 2012

Cagliari v Inter Match Preview and Betting Tips

Saturday 7th April 2012, 2pm GMT

It will take a miracle for Inter to qualify for next season’s Champions League considering the fact that they are seven points off third place with just eight games to go. Though we are all entitled to dream, the more realistic Inter fans will be looking ahead to next season and trying to forget this one.

New coach Andrea Stramaccioni got off to a winning start last weekend, but it was far less comfortable than it should have been considering the fact that they led Genoa 3-0 at one stage. Tomorrow provides a much tougher task for the Nerazzurri as they travel to face Cagliari. Indeed, only three teams have managed to beat the Sardinians on their home soil this season (Milan, Lazio and Lecce).

Goalkeeper Julio Cesar and central defender Lucio are both suspended for tomorrow’s game, while Maicon, Wesley Sneijder and Ricardo Alvarez are still injured. Diego Milito will provide Inter’s main goal threat as usual – indeed without his contribution, this season would have been even more of a disaster for Inter. Cagliari midfielder Daniele Dessena is out for the rest of the season due to injury, though defender Davide Astori is expected to return for this encounter.

Cagliari's Pinilla netted a fine goal against Atalanta on Sunday, and then proceeded to embarrass himself with these silly arm movements while his team-mates walked away feeling sorry for him

Cagliari have won four of their last five games at home, while Inter have lost four of their last five away games. There are two factors which weaken my conviction about this week’s tip – firstly, the Inter players have a new coach to impress, and secondly, the game will not be played at Cagliari’s home ground (it will be played in Trieste due to renovation work which is being carried out at the Stadio Sant'Elia).

The odds on an Inter win are far too short for my liking however, and I fancy the chances of this resolute Cagliari side managing at least a draw tomorrow.

Tip – Lay Inter  - 5pts

Match Odds:   Cagliari          13/5   
                     Draw            23/10
                     Inter             evens

Monday, April 2, 2012

Serie A - round 30 results

Bologna        1-3       Palermo     
Cagliari          2-0       Atalanta     
Fiorentina      1-2       Chievo       
Inter             5-4       Genoa        
Juventus       3-0       Napoli        
Lecce            0-0       Cesena       
Roma            5-2       Novara       
Siena            1-0       Udinese      
Catania         1-1       AC Milan     
Parma           3-1       Lazio

Friday, March 30, 2012

Parma v Lazio Match Preview and Betting Tips

Saturday 31st Match 2012, 7.45pm GMT (live on ESPN)

Lazio’s target with just nine league games remaining is simple: to retain third place and to qualify for next season’s Champions League. They were handed a huge boost last weekend when both Napoli and Udinese dropped points, giving the Romans a three point advantage over their closest competitors.

Captain Tommaso Rocchi will lead the line for Lazio tomorrow

This weekend represents another opportunity for Edy Reja’s men to tighten their grip on third place: Napoli – who face Lazio next week – travel to Turin to take on unbeaten Juventus, while Udinese – who are less efficient on the road than Lazio – travel to Siena. Reja's injury list isn’t quite as long as usual (the recent return of Rocchi, Mauri and Brocchi is a huge boost in the race for third place), but it does contain the name of top scorer Miroslav Klose, who is expected to miss at least the next two weeks with a thigh injury. Senad Lulic is also injured, as is defender Marius Stankevicius. Parma midfielder McDonald Mariga and striker Raffaele Palladino have also been sidelined by injuries.

Parma have managed just two wins since coach Roberto Donadoni took over in January, though most of their games in 2012 have ended as draws. Will we see another draw tomorrow? Possibly, but Lazio possess far more talent in their ranks than the Crociati (even without Klose and Lulic), and if sufficiently motivated the visitors should earn all three points. This is a risky call, as Sebastian Giovinco and former Lazio striker Sergio Floccari are bound to pose problems for the Biancoceleste defenders, but I think the odds on offer for a Lazio win make a small wager worthwhile.

Prediction – Lazio to win – 4 pts

Match odds:   Parma            6/4    
                    Draw            21/10 
                    Lazio             9/5

Monday, March 26, 2012

Serie A - round 29 results

Atalanta         2-0       Bologna      
Cesena          2-2       Parma        
Chievo           1-1       Siena
Genoa           2-2       Fiorentina   
Juventus        2-0       Inter
Lazio             1-0       Cagliari       
Napoli            2-2       Catania      
Novara          0-0       Lecce         
AC Milan        2-1       Roma         
Palermo         1-1       Udinese

Friday, March 23, 2012

Palermo v Udinese Match Preview and Betting Tips

Saturday 24th March 2012, 7.45pm GMT (live on ESPN)

When these two met at the Stadio Renzo Barbera last season, the 7-0 result was Palermo’s biggest home defeat in Serie A and Udinese’s biggest away win. At the time Udinese were on their way to an unexpected fourth place finish, which qualified them for a Champions League play-off. They have shown less consistency this season, but are still just a point short of third place due to the fact that Lazio have been equally inconsistent of late. Last week Udinese threw away a 2-0 home lead in the last ten minutes against Napoli, an eventuality which would have been hard to imagine last season.

Considering the fact that their home record is the second best in Serie A (Udinese is the only club with a superior home record), Palermo should also be battling for a European place instead of trailing Udinese by 12 points. However their away form is awful, and they have managed to earn just a point from their last four games. Coach Bortolo Mutti’s future looks precarious - so much so that former Real Madrid defender Christian Panucci has apparently indicated that he will take charge of the Sicilian club when the season finishes.

Munoz earned a point for Palermo last week, but will miss the game tomorrow

Udinese’s defensive options will be limited tomorrow as Mauricio Isla and Mehdi Benatia are injured, while Maurizio Domizzi is suspended. Forwards Antonio Floro Flores and Diego Fabbrini are also suspended, though midfielder Dusan Basta is expected to return from injury. Ezequiel Muñoz and Matias Silvestre will be missing from the Palermo defence, through suspension and injury respectively, while midfielders Nicolas Bertolo and Giulio Migliaccio are also unavailable.

The result of this game is a tricky one to call considering the erratic nature of both teams, though it is worth noting that Palermo have not drawn at home so far this season. While Udinese have won just two of their last twelve league games on the road, they have won all of their last four games against Palermo. The visitors have scored 16 goals in these four games, and I think the absences from both teams' defensive line-ups should lead to more goals in an open game.

Prediction - over 2.5 goals - 5pts

Match odds:            Palermo                            6/4
                             Draw                                9/4
                             Udinese                            17/10
                             Over 2.5 goals                   5/6

Thursday, March 22, 2012

Serie A - round 28 results

Roma            1-0       Genoa        
Bologna         2-2       Chievo       
Cagliari          3-0       Cesena       
Catania         1-0       Lazio
Inter             0-0       Atalanta     
Lecce            1-1       Palermo     
Siena            0-2       Novara       
Udinese         2-2       Napoli        
Fiorentina      0-5       Juventus     
Parma           0-2       AC Milan