Friday, February 4, 2011

Serie A – week 24 betting tips

Udinese v Sampdoria Match Preview and Betting Tips
February 5th 2011, 5.00pm GMT

Udinese were heavy favourites to beat Bologna in Udine on Wednesday, but they were forced to come from behind to salvage a point. Meanwhile, on the west coast of northern Italy, Sampdoria turned in another flat performance while their fans protested.

Wednesday’s defeat to Cagliari was Sampdoria’s third defeat in a row, and it saw them slide to twelfth place in Serie A. Of their six games in 2011, they have scored in only one – a 2-1 win over Roma, also their only win of this year – which explains why their fans are unhappy about the loss of their most potent attackers Antonio Cassano and Giampaolo Pazzini.

Federico Macheda - yet to score his first Serie A goal for Sampdoria

Udinese, on the other hand, are unbeaten in 2011, and they are not expected to show much sympathy to their struggling visitors tomorrow. Alexis Sanchez will return from suspension to partner Antonio Di Natale up front for the Bianconeri. 
Udinese lie four points behind the Champions League qualifying places, and they are likely to further their claim for qualification against a Sampdoria side in turmoil.

Prediction - Udinese to win - 4pts

Match odds:       Udinese          4/6
                        Draw              5/2
                        Sampdoria       4/1

Udinese: Last 5 Serie A Results
02.02.2011 – Udinese    1-1    Bologna
30.01.2011 – Juventus   1-2    Udinese
23.01.2011 – Udinese    3-1    Inter
16.01.2011 – Genoa      2-4    Udniese
09.01.2011 – AC Milan   4-4    Udinese

Sampdoria: Last 5 Serie A Results
02.02.2011 – Sampdoria  0-1   Cagliari
30.01.2011 – Napoli        4-0   Sampdoria
23.01.2011 – Sampdoria  0-0   Juventus
16.01.2011 – Lazio         1-0   Sampdoria
09.01.2011 – Sampdoria  2-1   Roma

*****

Bologna v Catania Match Preview and Betting Tips
February 6th 2011, 11.30am GMT (live on ESPN)

Both of these teams’ main aim for the season will have been to avoid relegation, a fate which may yet await either or both of them.

Catania secured a valuable point in a game against fellow relegation candidates Cesena on Wednesday. This was only the fourth away point they have won in a season where they have failed to win on the road.

Bologna have made a credible start to 2011, their only defeat coming against a resurgent Inter. They were convincing winners over Lazio in their last home fixture, and they also picked up an unexpected point at Udinese last time out.

Di Vaio: "Who are you calling old?"

The Rossoblu boast one of the top three scorers in the league – the excellent Marco Di Vaio, who netted his fourteenth of the season against Udinese. Like Udinese’s Antonio Di Natale, Di Vaio is in his thirties, but they are both currently out-scoring all other Serie A strikers with the exception of Napoli’s 23-year-old Edison Cavani.

Bologna will hope to ease closer to safety by claiming all three points on Sunday, and considering the Sicilians’ poor away form I expect them to do so.

Prediction - Bologna to win - 3pts 

Match odds:       Bologna         11/10
                        Draw             11/5
                        Catania          12/5

Bologna: Last 5 Serie A Results
02.02.2011 – Udinese     1-1    Bologna
23.01.2011 – Bologna     3-1    Lazio
15.01.2011 – Inter         4-1    Bologna
09.01.2011 – Bari           0-2    Bologna
06.01.2011 – Bologna     1-1    Fiorentina

Catania: Last 5 Serie A Results
02.02.2011 – Cesena     1-1     Catania
29.01.2011 – Catania     0-2    AC Milan
22.01.2011 – Parma       2-0    Catania
16.01.2011 – Catania     1-1    Chievo
09.01.2011 – Catania     1-2    Inter

*****

Genoa v AC Milan Match Preview and Betting Tips
February 6th 2011, 2.00pm GMT (live on ESPN)

League leaders AC Milan were held to a scoreless draw at the San Siro on Tuesday, but still managed to extend their lead at the top due to Napoli’s surprise defeat at Chievo. This was only the third game this season in which Milan failed to score.

Genoa have had no such difficulty in failing to score – with just 18 goals all season, they are one of the lowest-scoring teams in Serie A. They have compensated for this with one of the best defensive records however, and it will be interesting to see how their defenders fare against Milan’s high-scoring attacking players. The last time these sides faced one another was in September, when Ibrahimović scored the only goal of the game.

Zlatan - will he again prove to be the difference between the sides?

The Rossoneri are still missing Nesta, Boateng, Seedorf, Inzaghi, Gattuso and Ambrossini through injury, and they will be hoping to avoid further casualties ahead of their Champions League knock-out tie against Tottenham.

They will also be keen to maintain the gap between themselves and Napoli in Serie A however, and they will have noticed city rivals Inter breaking into the top three for the first time this season with a 3-0 win over Bari yesterday. Genoa’s record at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris has been poor this term with just four wins from eleven league encounters, and this record is unlikely to improve on Sunday.

Prediction - AC Milan to win - 3pts 

Match odds:       Genoa          11/4
                        Draw             9/4
                        AC Milan      evens

Genoa: Last 5 Serie A Results
02.02.2011 – Fiorentina   1-0    Genoa
30.01.2011 – Genoa        3-1    Parma
23.01.2011 – Chievo        0-0    Genoa
16.01.2011 – Genoa        2-4    Udinese
09.01.2011 – Cesena       0-0    Genoa

AC Milan: Last 5 Serie A Results
01.02.2011 – AC Milan    0-0    Lazio
29.01.2011 – Catania     0-2    AC Milan
23.01.2011 – AC Milan    2-0    Cesena
16.01.2011 – Lecce        1-1    AC Milan
09.01.2011 – AC Milan    4-4    Udinese


Good luck!

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Serie A – series 23 round-up

Our midweek Serie A predictions, like many of the games, didn’t go according to script. However we will take the rough with the smooth and aim to rectify the situation at the weekend.

Napoli were beaten 2-0 at Chievo, Roma and Udinese were held to 1-1 draws at home by Brescia and Bologna respectively, while AC Milan and Lazio played out a 0-0 draw. Juventus were defeated for the second time in three days, this time in Palermo. 

Sampdoria lost at home to Cagliari as their fans protested due to the recent sale of both Cassano and Pazzini. The stage is now set for Inter to move up to third in the table if they can avoid another surprise result and overcome Bari tomorrow.

See you back here on Friday for this weekend’s match previews and tips!

Serie A: series 23 results
AC Milan            0-0              Lazio
Roma                1-1              Brescia
Cesena              1-1              Catania
Chievo               2-0              Napoli  
Fiorentina           1-0             Genoa
Palermo              2-1             Juventus             
Parma                0-1             Lecce                    
Sampdoria          0-1             Cagliari                 
Udinese             1-1              Bologna
Bari                   0-3              Inter

Tuesday, February 1, 2011

Serie A – series 23 betting tips

AC Milan v Lazio Match Preview and Betting Tips
February 1st 2011, 7.45pm GMT (live on Setanta Ireland)

Third-placed Lazio tonight visit the San Siro as they attempt to close the 7-point gap between themselves and Serie A leaders AC Milan.

Milan coach Massimiliano Allegri expects Lazio to provide his players with a stern test, as they did earlier this season when these sides drew 1-1 in Rome. “Our aim is to finish the campaign with 80 points and in order to do that we have to win 11 more games,” announced Allegri.

Milan will be without the services of Massimo Ambrosini, Alessandro Pirlo, Andrea Nesta, Clarence Seedorf and Gianluca Zambrotta (injured) and Mark Van Bommel (suspended). Lazio are still missing strikers Tommaso Rocchi (injured) and Mauro Zarate (suspended). Libor Kozak will undoubtedly earn his second start for the Biancoceleste, having scored both their goals on Sunday.

Alexandre Pato - will he be celebrating this evening?

This is obviously a difficult challenge for Lazio, but coach Eddy Reja has vowed to attack the home side: “we have to go out there and look to score goals otherwise we’ll return to Rome as a beaten side,” he stated. “If we wait for Milan to attack us then we will certainly lose the game.”

While Reja may be using mind-games ahead of this big match I am prepared to take him at his word, and if Lazio do employ an attacking approach we will see a few goals this evening.

Prediction – over 2.5 goals – 2pts

Match odds:      AC Milan                4/7
                       Draw                    13/5
                       Lazio                    5/1
                       Over 2.5 goals      10/11
                       Under 2.5 goals      4/5

AC Milan: Last 5 Serie A Results
29.01.2011 – Catania 0-2 AC Milan
23.01.2011 – AC Milan 2-0 Cesena
16.01.2011 – Lecce 1-1 AC Milan
09.01.2011 – AC Milan 4-4 Udinese
06.01.2011 – Cagliari 0-1 AC Milan

Lazio: Last 5 Serie A Results
29.01.2011 – Lazio 2-0 Fiorentina
23.01.2011 – Bologna 3-1 Lazio
16.01.2011 – Lazio 1-0 Sampdoria
09.01.2011 – Lazio 1-2 Lecce
06.01.2011 – Genoa 0-0 Lazio

Chievo v Napoli Match Preview and Betting Tips

February 2nd 2011, 7.45pm GMT

Chievo come into this game having avoided defeat in their last four games. They have only won once in 2011 however, this win coming when they visited Brescia last Sunday.

Napoli also secured a convincing win last time out, beating Sampdoria 4-0 at the Stadio San Paolo. They have conceded just once in their five league games in 2011, and striker Edinson Cavani is in unstoppable form, with two hat-tricks to his name this season so far.

Napoli haven’t lost since they visited Udinese in November, and although Chievo’s form has been more consistent since the winter break, they face a daunting task in attempting to prevent Napoli’s impressive attack force from claiming another three points.

Prediction – Napoli to win – 5pts

Match odds:      Chievo          2/1
                       Draw            2/1
                       Napoli         11/8

Chievo: Last 5 Serie A Results
30.01.2011 Brescia 0-3 Chievo
23.01.2011 Chievo 0-0 Genoa
16.01.2011 – Catania 1-1 Chievo
09.01.2011 – Chievo 0-0 Palermo
06.01.2011 – Udinese 2-0 Chievo

Napoli: Last 5 Serie A Results
30.01.2011 – Napoli 4-0 Sampdoria
23.01.2011 – Bari 0-2 Napoli
15.01.2011 – Napoli 0-0 Fiorentina
09.01.2011 – Napoli 3-0 Juventus
06.01.2011 – Inter 3-1 Napoli

Sampdoria v Cagliari Match Preview and Betting Tips

February 2nd 2011, 7.45pm GMT

This is a meeting of two sides who have both seen the departure of their top scorers during the January transfer window. Cagliari’s Alessandro Matri has joined Juventus on a six-month loan deal, while Sampdoria have sold Giampaolo Pazzini to Inter, for whom he scored twice on Sunday.

Cagliari are the form team going into this match – they have won three of their last four games, most recently beating bottom side Bari 2-1. Sampdoria on the other hand will be hoping to end a run of three games without a win in Serie A.
According to midfielder Angelo Palombo, “we have ups and downs, we play a good game and we follow that up with a terrible game. We need to have our heads examined because otherwise we risk facing more ugly results this season.”

Palombo wants Sampdoria players to have their heads examined

Erratic form is indeed the main problem facing Sampdoria. Their home support will be calling for a return to winning ways after a humbling 4-0 defeat in Napoli on Sunday, and if the Genoa side are up to the challenge they possess enough quality to beat Cagliari tomorrow.

Prediction – Sampdoria to win – 3pts

Match odds:       Sampdoria       5/4
                        Draw              2/1
                        Cagliari         23/10

Sampdoria: Last 5 Serie A Results
30.01.2011 – Napoli 4-0 Sampdoria
23.01.2011 – Sampdoria 0-0 Juventus
16.01.2011 – Lazio 1-0 Sampdoria
09.01.2011 – Sampdoria 2-1 Roma
06.01.2011 –Palermo 3-0 Sampdoria

Cagliari: Last 5 Serie A Results
30.01.2011 – Cagliari 2-1 Bari
22.01.2011 – Roma 3-0 Cagliari
16.01.2011 – Cagliari 3-1 Palermo
09.01.2011 – Parma 1-2 Cagliari
06.01.2011 – Cagliari 0-1 AC Milan


Good luck!